Volatility

What’s Really Driving the Market? A Closer Look at Tariffs, Tightening, and Turbulence

Over the past three years, the Federal Reserve has steadily raised short-term interest rates. Meanwhile, the M2 money supply — a key measure once championed by Milton Friedman — has been shrinking, bottoming out in late 2023. Logically, tighter monetary policy should have slowed economic growth or even triggered a recession by now. Yet, it didn’t — at least not right […]

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Election Insights 2024: Navigating Market Volatility and Opportunities

Fiduciary Management, Financial Piece / Alex Steinbrecher

Election years are known for increased market volatility and generally lower stock returns due to the uncertainty elections bring. Historically, the S&P 500’s average return during election years has been 6.2%, compared to 9.6% in non-election years. Volatility is also higher, averaging 16.5% in election years versus 15.3% in non-election years. Since 1980, the average

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